Sunday, May 20, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Louise McWhirter's Short-Term Forecasting Method

In her monthly analysis Louise McWhirter determined the dates when the transiting Moon passes by the
Mid-Heaven (24 degrees Pisces), the Ascendant (14 degrees Cancer) and the Descendant (14 degrees
Capricorn) of the NYSE natal horoscope (May 17, 1792 07:52 a.m.) She thought that Mars and Neptune
would “rule” the NYSE and hence also considered the Moon's transits with these planets.

Recent and upcoming dates:

2018 May 05 (Sat) 02:19 = MOO @ 14°CAP
2018 May 06 (Sun) 02:20 = MOO 0° MAR
2018 May 10 (Thu) 06:22 = MOO 0° NEP
2018 May 10 (Thu) 21:26 = MOO @ 24° PIS
2018 May 18 (Fri) 16:43 = MOO @ 14° CAN
2018 Jun 01 (Fri) 09:37 = MOO @ 14° CAP
2018 Jun 03 (Sun) 06:21 = MOO 0° MAR

2018 Jun 06 (Wed) 15:23 = MOO 0° NEP
2018 Jun 07 (Thu) 05:55 = MOO @ 24° PIS
2018 Jun 15 (Fri) 01:41 = MOO @ 14° CAN
2018 Jun 28 (Thu) 16:07 = MOO @ 14° CAP
2018 Jun 30 (Sat) 19:10 = MOO 0° MAR
2018 Jul 03 (Tue) 22:17 = MOO 0° NEP
2018 Jul 04 (Wed) 13:08 = MOO @ 24° PIS
2018 Jul 12 (Thu) 12:12 = MOO @ 14° CAN
2018 Jul 25 (Wed) 22:09 = MOO @ 14° CAP
2018 Jul 27 (Fri) 14:48 = MOO 0° MAR
2018 Jul 31 (Tue) 03:26 = MOO 0° NEP
2018 Jul 31 (Tue) 19:10 = MOO @ 24° PIS
2018 Aug 08 (Wed) 22:42 = MOO @ 14° CAN

[all times calculated for New York City =  EST/EDT]
Louise McWhirter (1938) - McWhirter Theory of Stock Market Forecasting [199 p.]

Saturday, May 19, 2018

US Sugar #11 | At or Near Longterm Cycle Low

US Sugar #11 Futures [monthly bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [weekly bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [daily bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [daily close]
US Sugar #11 vs Average Annual Cycle (1973-2018)
US Sugar #11 vs Long Term Cycles (45 Year, 11.25 Year, 40 Month, 18 Month, etc.)
US Sugar #11 vs 45 Year Saturn - Uranus Cycle (heliocentric)

Sunday, May 6, 2018

Greater Eurasia | Russia’s New Energy Gamble

Bruno Maçães (Apr 2018) - In October 2017, Rosneft Chief Executive Officer Igor Sechin took the unusual step of presenting a geopolitical report on the “Ideals of Eurasian integration” to an audience in Verona, Italy. One of the maps projected on the screen during the presentation (HERE) showed the supercontinent—what Russian circles call “Greater Eurasia”—as divided between three main regions. For Sechin, the crucial division is not between Europe and Asia, but between regions of energy consumption and regions of energy production. The former are organized on the western and eastern edges of the supercontinent: Europe, including Turkey, and the Asia Pacific, including India. 

Between them we find three regions of energy production: Russia and the Arctic, the Caspian, and the Middle East. Interestingly, the map does not break these three regions apart, preferring to draw a delimitation line around all three. They are contiguous, thus forming a single bloc, at least from a purely geographic perspective. 

Sechin’s map has a number of other interesting elements. As noted already, Turkey is left on the European side of the line delimiting the energy production core in the west. The same is true for Ukraine, which although unavoidable in this context is still an unusual inclusion in a map sanctioned by the highest echelons of Russian state power. If one looks at the world through the prism of energy geopolitics, then Ukraine is a European country—a consumer, not a producer. 

[...] The map illustrates an important point about Russia’s new self-image. From the point of view of energy geopolitics, Europe and the Asia Pacific are perfectly equivalent, providing alternative sources of demand for energy resources. Russia has been struggling to abandon its traditional orientation toward Europe, hoping to benefit from the flexibility of being able to look both east and west to promote its interests. It seems that Sechin and Rosneft can place themselves in that position much more effortlessly. 

Sechin’s map subtly makes one final—and decisive—point. As you consider the three areas it delimits, it becomes apparent that two of them are already led and organized by a leading actor: Germany in the case of Europe and China for the Asia Pacific. Production chains within these highly industrial regions are increasingly managed by German or Chinese companies, which tend to reserve the higher value segments for themselves. Their spheres of influence extend to all important inputs, with one glaring exception: energy. In order to address this vulnerability, the two regions of energy consumption will be attracted to the core region, where they need to ensure ready and secure access to energy resources. And their efforts may well be made easier by the fact that the core region of energy production lacks a hegemon capable of ensuring its survival as an autonomous unit in the Eurasian system.

The very same day he delivered his speech on Eurasian geopolitics, Sechin announced that Rosneft would take control of Iraqi Kurdistan’s main oil pipeline, boosting its investment in the autonomous region to $3.5 billion, despite Baghdad’s military action sparked by a Kurdish vote for independence. The move helped shield Kurdistan from increasing pressure from Baghdad. Two weeks later, Sechin went on to sign a preliminary pact with the National Iranian Oil Company, the first step before a binding deal to participate in Iran’s oil and gas projects over the next few years, with investments totaling up to $30 billion and a production plateau of 55 million tons of oil per year.

Four Russian oil companies have even begun negotiating for opportunities in Syria, a venture driven as much by politics as by commercial interest. The aim is not to explore and extract Syria’s modest petroleum reserves, of course. By actively participating in rebuilding and operating Syrian oil and gas infrastructure, Russian energy companies will be in control of a critical transit route for Iranian and Qatari oil and gas heading to Europe, bringing two rival producers closer to its orbit and tightening its stranglehold on the European gas supply. In 2009, Qatar proposed to run a natural gas pipeline through Syria and Turkey to Europe. Instead, Al-Assad forged a pact with Iran to build a pipeline from the Persian Gulf and then through Iraq and Syria and under the Mediterranean. This project had to be postponed because of the war. When it is resumed, Russia will be in control.

It is in the very nature of the Eurasian system described by Sechin that the core energy production region—provided it is sufficiently united and organized—will benefit from its central position, being able to pick and choose between east and west in order to obtain the most favorable terms. Russia and the Middle East are now part of the same geopolitical unit. It took the Russian military intervention in Syria for the world to start to come to terms with this reality.

Saturday, May 5, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs True and Mean Lunar Orbital Speed | May 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Lunar Inclination + SoLunar Map | May 2018

Recent and upcoming events:
Apr 30 (Mon)
, May 03 (Thu), May 07 (Mon), May 07 (Mon), May 11 (Fri),  
May 14 (Mon), May 15 (Tue), May 18 (Fri), May 20 (Sun), May 22 (Tue)
 May 26 (Sat), May 27 (Sun), May 29 (Tue),  
Jun 02 (Sat), Jun 03 (Sun), Jun 06 (Wed).


Tuesday, May 1, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Lunar Declination and Lunar Latitude | May 2018

Lunar Latitude at 0° degrees tends to coincide with contraction/narrow range;
 Lunar Declination at 0° degrees with expansion/wide range and/or trend changes;
Extremes in both Latitude and Declination with trend changes of all magnitudes.

Recent and upcoming events:

Apr 27 (Fri) 15:01 = MOO Dec @ 0
Apr 29 (Sun) 21:01 = Full Moon
Apr 29 (Sun) 22:45 = MOO Lat @ Max
May 04 (Fri) 19:05 = MOO Dec @ Min
May 07 (Mon) 06:22 = MOO Lat @ 0
May 12 (Sat) 03:18 = MOO Dec @ 0
May 14 (Mon) 05:27 = MOO Lat @ Min
May 15 (Tue) 07:46 = New Moon
May 18 (Fri) 11:04 = MOO Dec @ Max
May 20 (Sun) 09:17 = MOO Lat @ 0
May 24 (Thu) 21:41 = MOO Dec @ 0
May 27 (Sun) 00:44 = MOO Lat @ Max
May 29 (Tue) 10:22 = Full Moon
Jun 01 (Fri) 03:12 = MOO Dec @ Min
Jun 03 (Sun) 08:38 = MOO Lat @ 0

[all times calculated for New York City =  EST/EDT]

S&P 500 vs Heliocentric Mars – Uranus Cycle | May 1st, 2018 @ 225 degrees

[all times calculated for New York City =  EST/EDT]

Sunday, April 29, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | May 2018

Upcoming turn-days: 
Apr 24 (Tue), Apr 28 (Sat), May 03 (Thu), May 04 (Fri), May 06 (Sun), May 10 (Thu), 
May 15 (Tue), May 19 (Sat), May 23 (Wed), May 26 (Sat), May 30 (Wed)
Jun 04 (Mon), Jun 09 (Sat).
Previous turn-days HERE

Sunday, April 15, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Lunar Declination and Lunar Latitude | April 2018

Lunar Latitude at 0° degrees tends to coincide with contraction/narrow range;
 Lunar Declination at 0° degrees with expansion/wide range and/or trend changes;
Extremes in both Latitude and Declination with trend changes of all magnitudes.

Recent and upcoming events:
Mar 31 (Sat) 08:40 = Full Moon
Apr 02 (Mon) 19:06 = MOO Lat @ Max
Apr 07 (Sat) 10:35 = MOO Dec @ Min
Apr 10 (Tue) 04:09 = MOO Lat @ 0
Apr 14 (Sat) 17:18 = MOO Dec @ 0
Apr 15 (Sun) 21:54 = New Moon
Apr 17 (Tue) 00:54 = MOO Lat @ Min
Apr 21 (Sat) 03:39 = MOO Dec @ Max
Apr 23 (Mon) 08:22 = MOO Lat @ 0
Apr 27 (Fri) 15:01 = MOO Dec @ 0
Apr 29 (Sun) 21:01 = Full Moon
Apr 29 (Sun) 22:45 = MOO Lat @ Max
May 04 (Fri) 19:05 = MOO Dec @ Min

[all times calculated for New York City =  EST/EDT]

Saturday, April 14, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs BitCoin | shifted 44 Calendar Days

The correlation between Bitcoin prices shifted 44 Calendar Days into the future and the S&P 500 was discovered by Raj Time and Cycles (HERE + HERE). The correlation cycle is not perfect; it contracts and stretches ± 2 calendar days. Currently a 44 calendar day correlation points to a major high in the S&P 500 around April 17 (Tue).

Friday, April 13, 2018

Critical Degrees and Change of Trend | George Bayer (1937)

Detecting the Change of Trend by Means of Critical Degrees. In:
George Bayer (1937): Time Factors in the Stock Market; Carmel, California; pp. 69-72. 

S&P 500 Index vs George Bayer’s Critical Degrees of Mars
@ 0° @ 5° @ 17° @ 25° of each Zodiac Sign | April 17
(Tue) High ?


Tuesday, April 3, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | April 2018

 Upcoming Turn-Days:
Apr 06 (Fri), Apr 11 (Wed), Apr 15 (Sun), Apr 19 (Thu), Apr 24 (Tue), Apr 28 (Sat),  
May 03 (Thu), May 04 (Fri), May 06 (Sun).
Previous turn-days HERE

Thursday, March 29, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Equation of Time | 2015 - 2018

The apparent motion of the Sun along the plane of the ecliptic is not regular (Kepler's laws of planetary motion). This non-uniform motion is caused for two reasons: (1.)The Earth's orbit is not circular but elliptical (Eccentricity), and (2.) the Earth's axis is tilted about 23 degrees north and south from the ecliptic (Obliquity). Mean Solar Time assumes that the orbit is circular, that there is no tilt, and that each day of the year is of exact equal length (60 x 60 x 24 = 86,400 seconds). However this is not the case: The real astronomical Apparent Solar Time differs from the Mean Solar Time (the time of our clocks) by the Equation of Time. This equation describes the discrepancy between the Clock Time and the time indicated by a sundial (the word equation is used in the medieval sense of reconcile a difference) in a given place at the same time. The Clock Time actually matches the Apparent Solar Time only during four moments per year (December 25th, April 15th, June 13th, September 1st) while on November 3rd the Clock Time in New York City is as much as 16 minutes behind and on February 11th more than 14 minutes ahead of the real astronomical time. 

Days when the Equation of Time is at zero, at extremes or even at midpoints between peaks and troughs oftentimes coincide with a change in trend in financial markets (at least short term). The Equation of Time for New York City will be at zero on April 15 (Sun) and at a peak during May 14 (Mon). The midpoint between the trough on February 11 (Sun) and the peak on May 14 (Mon) is today, March 29 (Thu).

Wednesday, March 28, 2018

Declinations of Sun, Moon and Planets 2018 | Parallels and Extremes

The Parallel Aspect is formed between two planets with the same declination or distance north or south of the ecliptic. If the planets are both North or both South of the ecliptic, the parallel aspect is read as a conjunction. If they are the same declination but one is North and one is South, then the contra-parallel is read as a 180 degree opposition. These aspects are strongest when the orb is kept to 1 degree. They can also magnify the intensity of any other aspect between the two planets or points.
On March 27 (Tue) 15:11 Mercury and Venus were parallel of declination at 9.2880 degrees north (HERE).
On April 4 (Wed) 14:30 Mercury and the Sun will be parallel of declination at 5.8257 degrees north.
On April 17 (Tue) 02:18 the Moon, the Sun and Uranus will be parallel of declination at 10.4128 degrees north. 
On April 20 (Fri) 13:00 Mercury's declination will bottom at 0.8124 degrees north while the Moon's declination will peak at 20.4433 degrees north the next morning. 
From May 6 (Sun) to June 8 (Fri) Venus will be out of bound (>23.4347 degrees north or south = beyond Sun's max-declination). Venus will reach maximum declination at 25.0537 degrees north on May 22 (Tue) 3:35 (HERE). Etc. 
Declinations Ephemerides can be found e.g. HERE + HERE 

Sunday, March 25, 2018

SoLunar Map | April - May 2018

Upcoming SoLunar Turn-Days are:
Mar 28 (Wed), Mar 31 (Sat) = 09:27 Full Moon, Apr 04 (Wed), Apr 08 (Sun), Apr 11 (Wed), Apr 15 (Sun) =
21:01 New Moon, Apr 19 (Thu), Apr 22 (Sun), Apr 26 (Thu), Apr 30 (Mon), May 03 (Thu), May 07 (Mon), May 11 (Fri), May 15 (Tue) = 06:45 New Moon, May 18 (Fri), May 22 (Tue), May 26 (Sat), May 29 (Tue) = 11:38 Full Moon, Jun 02 (Sat).
 Previous SoLunar Maps HERE

Review of S&P 500 Index vs SoLunar Map in March 2018 | Preview for April 2018.