Showing posts with label Soybeans. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Soybeans. Show all posts

Sunday, March 19, 2023

Anything Can Happen | Mark Douglas

The semiretired chairman of the board of the brokerage firm was a longtime trader with nearly 40 years of experience in the grain pits at the Chicago Board of Trade. He didn't know much about technical analysis, because he never needed it to make money on the floor. But he no longer traded on the floor and found the transition to trading from a screen difficult and somewhat mysterious. So he asked the firm's newly acquired star technical analyst to sit with him during the trading day and teach him technical trading. The new hire jumped at the opportunity to show off his abilities to such an experienced and successful trader. The analyst was using a method called "point and line",  developed by Charlie Drummond (HERE).
 

One day, as the two of them were watching the soybean market together, the analyst had projected major support and resistance points and the market happened to be trading between these two points.  As the technical analyst was explaining to the chairman the significance of these two points, he stated in very emphatic, almost absolute terms that if the market goes up to resistance, it will stop and reverse; and if the market goes down to support, it will also stop and reverse. Then he explained that if the market went down to the price level he calculated as support, his calculations indicated that would also be the low of the day. 
 
As they sat there, the bean market was slowly trending down to the price the analyst said would be the support, or low, of the day. When it finally got there, the chairman looked over to the analyst and said, "This is where the market is supposed to stop and go higher, right?" The analyst responded, "Absolutely! This is the low of the day." "That's bullshit!" the chairman retorted. "Watch this." He picked up the phone, called one of the clerks handling orders for the soybean pit, and said, "Sell two million beans bushels at the market." Within thirty seconds after he placed the order, the soybean market dropped ten cents a bushel. The chairman turned to look at the horrified expression on the analysts face. Calmly, he asked, "Now, where did you say the market was going to stop? If I can do that, anyone can."

Friday, November 27, 2015

Soybeans - Time and Price Near Major Low

Up-swings in the 30 Year Long-Term Commodity Cycle last for about 10 years, down-swings 20 years. Soybeans topped in this cycle in 2012 and
should decline into 2030. On a medium-term scale the average advance lasts 29 months, declines 16 months. Soybeans have been declining 38
months from the top, losing 53% of the value. The swing-chart shows that declines of 50% + are followed by rallies of 80% +. A 7 year
low-to-low cycle also points to January 2016. A likely price target would be 809, the 0.707 Fibonacci retracement level. If this is correct,
Soybeans should move back up to 1,418 +.

Friday, June 19, 2015

SPX and Grains vs » A Time and Times and Half a Time « | George Bayer

»In Revelations (12:14) as well as in Daniel we find quotations of "A time and times and half a time": "And the woman was given two wings of a great eagle, that she might fly into the wilderness, into her place where she is nourished for a time, and times, and half a time, from the face of the serpent."

From the September 29, 2014 low to the June 19, 2015 high the Sun moved 261.63 degrees through the zodiac.

This event tells us that at the time it was winter. The eagle of the Bible always means the zodiacal sign of the Scorpion. The woman in this case represents the Sun, whose home is in the sign of Leo. She flew into the wilderness, her place. The wilderness of the Bible means the sign of Leo. She was nourished in her place for a time and times and half a time, the value of which counts to one hundred and twenty-two and one half. In as much as the biblical circle is not three hundred and sixty degrees in length, but extends to 368° 10' 48’’, therefore the actual beginning of its domain is at 13° 36’ 12’’ of the of the sign of Taurus and the end at 16° 21' 48" in the sign of Virgo. Jupiter and Saturn dominate the other two portions.


Most readers are apt to ask what this has to do with the market. The answer is contained therein and lies in the time factor of the price movements for stocks and for wheat and for other commodities. Even those who have studied Astrology from textbooks must be greatly surprised about the above statement, because no textbook brings anything about it. The textbooks use the circle of 360 degrees which is not the one the prophets used when they predicted events.

Analyzing further we find the unit of “Times and times and half a time” to be 35. 1 time is 35; two times is 70; and half a time is 17½. Adding gives us 122½. 2½ times representing 122° 43’ 36’’ or 1 time equaling 35° 3’ 53’’.

The number 35 (actually 35° 3’ 53’’), the eighth part thereof as well as the multiples of the same constitute the basis for distance movements in stocks and wheat.«

17½   35   52½   70   87½   105   122½   140   157½   175   192½   210   227½   245   262½   280   297½   315  332½   350   367½
Rounded this is:
18   35   53   70   88   105   123   140   158   175   193   210   228   245   263   280   297   315   333   350   368

George Bayer (1937): Time Factors in the Stock Market, p. 39-40 

From the October 15, 2014 low to the June 18, 2015 high the Sun moved 245.84 degrees through the zodiac.

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Some Astro Trading Rules

Rule # 01 [SP500] = SUN 110, 230, 350 MER (geo)
Rule # 02 [SP500] = SUN 90, 120, 180 JUP (geo)
Rule # 03 [SP500] = SUN 120 SAT (geo)
Rule # 04 [SP500] = SUN 00, 45, 90, 135, 180 SAT (geo)
Rule # 05 [SP500] = MER 120 JUP (geo)
Rule # 06 [SP500] = MER 120 NEP (geo)
Rule # 07 [SP500] = MER 88, 178, 268, 358 (helio)
Rule # 08 [SP500] = MER 120 NEP (geo)
Rule # 09 [SP500] = VEN 120 JUP (geo)
Rule # 10 [SP500] = VEN 00, 120 URA (helio)
Rule # 11 [SP500] = MAR 00, 90, 180 North Node (geo)
Rule # 12 [SP500 + Corn] = MER 00, 90, 180, 270 JUP (geo)
 

Rule # 13 [SP500 + Corn] = MER par VEN
Rule # 14 [Corn] = SUN par MER
Rule # 15 [Corn] = SUN par VEN
Rule # 16 [Corn] = MER 1 degree after retrograde
Rule # 17 [Corn] = MER 1 degree after direct
Rule # 18 [Corn] = MER 14 declination
Rule # 19 [Corn] = VEN 0 declination
Rule # 20 [Corn] = MAR 81, 171, 201, 351 (helio)
Rule # 21 [Soybeans] = VEN 00, 120 JUP (helio)
Rule # 22 [Soybeans] = VEN 00, 120 SAT (geo)
Rule # 23 [Soybeans] = VEN 120 SAT (geo)
 

All examples were calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.

Rule # 24 [Soybeans] = MAR 00, 30, 60, 90, 120, 150, 180 JUP (geo)
Rule # 25 [Soybeans] = MAR 00, 120 SAT (geo)
Rule # 26 [Soybeans] = MAR 60, 124, 188, 252, 316 (geo)
Rule # 27 [US Bonds] = VEN 56, 176, 296 (helio)
Rule # 28 [US Bonds] = JUP 00, 15, 30, 45, 60, 75, 90, 105, 120, 135, 150, 165, 180 PLU (geo)
Rule # 29 [Swiss Franc] = MER 00 MAR (geo)
Rule # 30 [Swiss Franc] = MAR 00, 30, 60, 90, 120, 150, 180 JUP (geo)

 

 



Trading the Rules (daily chart) 
1)  Look for a change in trend on a potential astro-turn-date, e.g. if market has been up, look for sell.

2)  Additional energy enters the market on potential astro-turn-dates. If the market has been trading in a range for 4 days or more, trade the breakout of the range.
 

3)  Without an obvious range or direction, do not trade. 


Wednesday, April 11, 2012

W.D. Gann's Cycles for Stock Market, Soybeans & Corn



In the stock market and commodity courses that W.D. Gann published during the 1930's he had a section on cycles. Gann listed his major cycles as:

82 to 90 Years, 60 Years, 45 Years, 30 Years, and 20 Years

Some analysts state that Gann's 60-Year Cycle was his "Master Time Factor" because it is twice his 30-Year Cycle and three times his 20-Year Cycle.

Gann listed his minor cycles as:

10 Years, 5 Years, 3 Years, 2 Years, and 1 Year.

Gann taught his students to go back in time to see what the market under study was doing 82 to 90 years ago, 60 years ago, 45 years ago etc. This method of Gann Cycle Analysis is quite useful as it gives one a roadmap of what pattern may unfold during the coming year or so.

If one finds in the market under analysis the pattern that unfolded 60 years ago has comparisons to the pattern that unfolded 30 years ago, or 20 years ago, the probabilities favor a comparable pattern unfolding at the current time.

However, there are additional ways to use Gann's Cycles. Smaller intervals of Gann's Cycles are useful tools as they align with highs, lows, and accelerations.

One-fifth (the 17-year cycle) divisions of Gann's 84-Year Cycle regularly align with major highs and lows in stocks. The depression era low of July 1932 to the beginning of the post WW II bull market in 1949 is 17 years. The low of 1949 to the high of 1966 is another 17 years. From early 1966 to August 1982, it is 17 years. August 1982 to January 2000 is another 17 years. January 2000 to December 2016 will be another 17 years.

Obviously, the one-fifth (17-year) division of Gann's 84-Year Cycle is quite important in the stock market.

Various intervals of Gann's smaller cycles are just as significant.

Let's now look at Gann's 84-Year Cycle in soybean prices.

This chart shows the sawtooth, high-low pattern of one-sixth divisions of Gann's 84-Year Cycle in soybeans. In soybeans, measurements of Gann's 84-Year Cycle are taken from the spike high in soybean prices of February 1, 1918. One revolution of the 84-Year Cycle completed at the historic low of October 2001. It is amazing that after 84- Years, this interval of the cycle continues to align with historic highs and lows.

The 84-Year Cycle shows there is a one-third division to the lows and a one-third division to the highs. The only exception to the sawtooth pattern was the historical low of October 2001. The probabilities favor the turning point in 2016 will revert to the pattern and be a significant low.

Let us now take a look at smaller divisions of the 84-Year Cycle in soybeans. This chart shows an approximate 48 to 50 Week Interval of Gann's 84-Year Cycle measured from February 1, 1918.

... A major bull market in beans began on June 8, 2010 just as this interval of Gann's 84-Year Cycle bottomed and turned up.